The National Safety Council estimates U.S. traffic fatalities fell 13–13.5% in the first half of 2025, even as miles driven rose slightly. The fatality rate dropped to 1.15 per 100 million vehicle miles traveled, with big state‑level variance (e.g., DC −67%, California −43%) and a few increases (Hawaii +46%). In parallel, the National Insurance Crime Bureau reports vehicle thefts fell 17% in 2024, the largest annual drop in 40 years.
— A sizable, nationwide safety improvement reshapes debates on road‑safety policy and may ease insurance inflation pressures.
Steve Sailer
2025.09.14
100% relevant
NSC preliminary estimate: 18,720 traffic deaths in Jan–Jun 2025 (−13%), rate 1.15 per 100M VMT; NICB: vehicle thefts −17% in 2024.
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