Compare immigrant and native offending using exposure‑adjusted metrics (person‑years lived in the jurisdiction, age at arrival, tenure since migration) rather than raw incarceration or stock measures. Doing so reduces bias created when life‑time native populations are contrasted with recent arrivals and gives a truer picture of relative offending incidence.
— If adopted, this shifts immigration and public‑safety debates away from headline incarceration comparisons to evidence that better targets policing, integration programs, and immigration policy.
2026.01.12
100% relevant
The article cites Lilley & VerBruggen’s reanalysis showing Somali incarceration estimates rise when correcting for the fact immigrants haven’t lived their whole lives in the U.S.; that adjustment exemplifies the exposure correction the idea proposes.
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