AI‑driven demand‑collapse scenario

Updated: 2026.02.27 5D ago 1 sources
A policy‑relevant scenario in which rapid, economy‑wide substitution of labor by AI (especially in high‑wage white‑collar sectors) triggers a negative feedback loop: displaced workers cut spending, revenues fall, firms enact further cuts, and financial markets and credit conditions amplify the downturn. — If plausible, this mechanism reframes AI policy from 'labor augmentation' to macroeconomic stability and requires coordinated industrial, fiscal and labor policy responses.

Sources

First It Came for the Blue-Collar Workers, But…
Oren Cass 2026.02.27 100% relevant
The Citrini Research note (7,000‑word report) claiming a potential 38% S&P drawdown and Teamsters President Sean O’Brien’s summit comment that white‑collar workers may experience long‑standing working‑class vulnerabilities exemplify the risk described.
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