AI Pullback Slashes Expected S&P Growth

Updated: 2025.10.05 16D ago 1 sources
If Big Tech cuts AI data‑center spending back to 2022 levels, the S&P 500 would lose about 30% of the revenue growth Wall Street currently expects next year. Because AI capex is propping up GDP and multiple upstream industries (chips, power, trucking, CRE), a slowdown would cascade beyond Silicon Valley. — It links a single investment cycle to market‑wide earnings expectations and real‑economy spillovers, reframing AI risk as a macro vulnerability rather than a sector story.

Sources

What Would Happen If an AI Bubble Burst?
EditorDavid 2025.10.05 100% relevant
Goldman Sachs’ Sept. 4 client note (quoted) estimating a 30% hit to expected S&P revenue growth under a Big Tech capex pullback.
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