All‑adult approval as legitimacy signal

Updated: 2026.10.02 1D ago 1 sources
Rather than privileging likely‑voter polls, averaging all‑adult approval polls offers a measure of a president's broader public legitimacy (who he is in the eyes of the country as a whole), not just his standing among those most likely to vote. Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin explicitly uses all‑adult versions when multiple survey versions exist and highlights how that choice changes the topline. — Framing presidential popularity around all adults (not just likely voters) reframes debates about legitimacy, governing mandate, and media narratives — influencing how pundits, parties and policymakers interpret poll swings.

Sources

How popular is Donald Trump?
Nate Silver 2026.10.02 100% relevant
Silver Bulletin's stated default uses the all‑adult version of polls when multiple versions exist and argues 'all Americans have a say in how popular the president is', which concretely exemplifies this measurement choice.
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