An Equation for False Claims

Jussim proposes a simple equation decomposing the false‑claim rate in psychology into additive parts: unreplicable findings, citations of unreplicable work as true, overclaims from replicable results, ignoring contrary evidence, censorship effects, and outright fabrication. He argues unreplicable results alone run near 50%, making ~75% a plausible overall estimate absent strong counter‑evidence. — This framework invites more disciplined audits of research claims and cautions journalists, courts, and agencies against treating single studies as facts without multi‑team corroboration.