Anti‑Satellite Strikes as Nuclear Tripwire

Updated: 2025.09.21 30D ago 2 sources
In a Taiwan war, both sides would rush to blind the other by hitting satellites, sensors, and command networks that guide long‑range conventional weapons. But many of these systems also serve nuclear targeting, so destroying them can look like first‑strike preparation and push leaders toward 'launch or lose.' This structural overlap makes rapid nuclear escalation more likely even if neither side intends it. — It reframes Taiwan‑deterrence planning by showing how ISR/C2 'entanglement' bakes nuclear risk into any conventional fight, changing how policymakers weigh early strikes and crisis signaling.

Sources

America's Space Force is Preparing for a New Kind of War
EditorDavid 2025.09.21 70% relevant
The article details covert electromagnetic interference on U.S. satellites as an opening move in conflict, aligning with the existing idea that attacks on ISR/C2 space assets can be early escalatory steps with dangerous entanglement risks for broader deterrence dynamics.
Taiwan: Trump’s Most Dangerous Global Challenge
N.S. Lyons 2025.01.20 100% relevant
Lyons notes U.S. commanders would target China’s 'kill chain'—including space assets—and that these are often the same systems used for nuclear targeting, risking misinterpretation as prelude to a nuclear attack.
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