Approval‑Streak Early‑Warning Metric

Updated: 2026.01.13 15D ago 1 sources
Define and report a simple, weekly 'approval‑streak' metric: the number of consecutive weeks a leader’s net approval sits beyond a chosen threshold (e.g., ≤‑15). Short streak increases (or reversals) would be published alongside raw poll numbers as an operational early‑warning for coalition stress, donor flight, or governing paralysis. — Standardising a streak metric turns noisy polling into an actionable indicator for campaigns, legislators, journalists and funders to anticipate governing fragility and to time oversight or messaging.

Sources

Approval of Donald Trump may have stabilized for now
2026.01.13 100% relevant
The Economist/YouGov poll reports Trump moving from -18 to -14 and notes the multi‑month decline that has now stabilized—exactly the pattern a streak metric would capture and operationalize.
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