Visas issued in 2021–2024 under the 'Boriswave' will begin converting to Indefinite Leave to Remain, locking in permanent residency, welfare access, and family reunification. Commentators now urge revisiting ILR rules before this conversion wave, citing projected fiscal costs in the hundreds of billions.
— Framing ILR conversions as a policy 'cliff' recasts immigration from a flow debate to a near‑term stock lock‑in decision with major budget and demographic effects.
Matt Goodwin
2025.09.22
90% relevant
The article reports Nigel Farage/Reform UK will abolish ILR and do so retroactively—explicitly responding to the imminent wave of ILR conversions ('Boriswave') Goodwin previously highlighted, turning that forecast into a concrete campaign policy.
Matt Goodwin
2025.09.15
92% relevant
The article calls to 'reverse the Boriswave' by removing the right of roughly 2 million post‑2020 migrants to gain Indefinite Leave to Remain, warning of large fiscal costs—directly echoing the ILR conversion 'cliff' and its budget implications flagged in this idea.
Matt Goodwin
2025.09.08
100% relevant
Goodwin cites Jenni Russell’s call to limit or scrap ILR for recent visa cohorts and references Telegraph estimates and OBR-style analyses of the 'Boriswave.'