A new NBER working paper monetizes the longevity gains from eliminating cancer and finds aggregate benefits on the order of $197 trillion over 35 years (≈$16,282 per American per year), implying internal rates of return on R&D of several hundred to over a thousand percent. Even partial success (an 80% reduction over 20 years) captures a large fraction of that value, suggesting enormous social returns to ambitious cancer research programs.
— If correct, policymakers should treat ambitious cancer research and translational programs as priority public investments with returns that dramatically exceed typical R&D benchmarks.
Tyler Cowen
2026.04.14
100% relevant
NBER working paper by Tomas J. Philipson, Deyu Zhang, Shumaila Abbasi & Noah Fisher, summarized on Marginal Revolution, reporting $197 trillion total benefits and IRRs of 570–1,024%.
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