Cash‑Staked Bayesian Debates

Use pre‑specified Bayesian models, neutral judges, and sizable wagers to adjudicate contested scientific claims in public. The method forces clarity on priors, evidentiary weights, and likelihood ratios, reducing motivated reasoning and endless discourse loops. — If normalized, this could shift high‑stakes controversies—from pandemics to climate attribution—toward transparent, accountable evidence synthesis rather than partisan narrative battles.