A Xiamen University law professor argues 2025 offers a rare chance to negotiate Taiwan reunification with Trump, preferring short‑term pain to prolonged uncertainty. The essay reflects a broader PRC drift toward legal and administrative pathways—criminalizing 'independence,' grey‑zone enforcement, and post‑reunification governance plans—rather than pure military timelines.
— It suggests Beijing may try to convert U.S. electoral shifts into a grand bargain on Taiwan, reframing the conflict from deterrence vs. invasion to deal‑making.
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2025.07.26
100% relevant
Wei Leijie’s essay and quote advocating immediate reunification and a 'once‑in‑a‑century' deal, published from Xiamen University’s Taiwan research hub.
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2025.07.19
50% relevant
Both surface evolving PRC thinking that seeks non‑invasion pathways and information/legal tactics to change the cross‑Strait calculus; Zhong’s emphasis on delegitimizing Taiwan’s democracy and shifting the balance to deter U.S. entry parallels the earlier notion of exploiting political windows and alternative pressure channels.
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2025.06.27
82% relevant
Zheng Yongnian frames Trump’s 'disregard for ideology' as a China opportunity, echoing PRC arguments that 2025 offers a window to negotiate with Trump; both signal Beijing’s preference for transactional deals under a Trump administration.
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