China Makes Western Clean Tech Uninvestable

Updated: 2025.10.01 21D ago 2 sources
After touring Chinese factories, eight Western venture capitalists say key clean‑tech sectors like batteries are so dominated by China that backing Western rivals no longer makes sense. They report the cost and scale gap is wider than expected, raising doubts that European and North American startups can survive in these hardware categories. The result could be capital fleeing domestic clean‑hardware toward services or China‑tied supply chains. — If investors abandon Western clean‑hardware, governments face stark choices on tariffs, subsidies, and standards to keep strategic industries alive.

Sources

Incentives matter, installment #1637
Tyler Cowen 2025.10.01 68% relevant
The reported $2.2B in canceled battery-plant projects in one quarter supports the broader thesis that Western clean‑hardware investment (notably batteries) is faltering, consistent with VCs’ claims that China’s dominance makes Western plays uneconomic.
China Road Trip Exposes List of Uninvestable Assets in the West
msmash 2025.09.22 100% relevant
Bloomberg’s account of the July China road trip and Talia Rafaeli’s quote that the gap is so large it leaves Western survival in question.
← Back to All Ideas