Climate-risk model monoculture

Updated: 2025.08.15 6M ago 1 sources
Global regulators converge on a single NGFS damage function and scenario set, so errors in one influential study propagate system-wide into bank supervision and macro stress tests. — Concentration on one methodology can skew capital allocation, risk assessments, and climate policy, raising governance and accountability stakes for central banks and finance ministries.

Sources

Too Big to Fail
Roger Pielke Jr. 2025.08.15 100% relevant
NGFS adopted KLW24’s damages into its official damage function; subsequent critique (BHH25) suggests those inputs were flawed, revealing the systemic risk of model convergence.
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