Control Unstable Politics, Predict Stable

Treat statecraft like control engineering: forecast only stable dynamics and build fast‑feedback levers to damp or steer unstable ones (preference cascades, street unrest, legitimacy shocks). Instead of grand long‑range 'predictions,' invest in visible, credible enforcement signals and short‑cycle decision loops that stabilize expectations. — This reframes governance from pundit forecasting to control‑system design, shifting debates on policing, protest management, and institutional reform toward rapid, credibility‑restoring interventions.