When assessing immigration’s fiscal impact, models should jointly simulate labor‑market responses and public‑budget effects and explicitly include gains from trade, market‑size increases, and scale/innovation effects—because those channels can overturn apparent fiscal costs. A calibrated general‑equilibrium approach across 17 OECD countries finds native welfare rises in most cases for recent skill mixes.
— This reframes immigration debates: fiscal accounting that omits trade and scale effects gives an incomplete (and often misleading) picture of who wins and loses from migration.
Tyler Cowen
2026.10.20
100% relevant
New NBER working paper by Michele Battisti, Giovanni Peri & Eleonora Romano (calibrated to 17 OECD countries, 2015–2019), highlighted on Tyler Cowen’s Marginal Revolution blog.
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