Election forecasters should present a small, curated set of illustrative simulation maps (not raw dumps) that show representative and edge outcomes, plus explicit probabilities and counting‑delay risks. Curated galleries can reduce cherry‑picked skepticism while still communicating rare but consequential possibilities.
— How model outputs are framed changes public interpretation and trust in forecasts, and curated simulation galleries are a practical way to balance transparency with responsible communication.
Nate Silver
2026.11.01
100% relevant
Nate Silver’s selection of 13 maps out of 40,000 FLIPR simulations and his explicit concern that readers cherry‑pick weird maps exemplify the practice and problem.
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