Data centers aren’t crowding out investment

Updated: 2026.10.19 1H ago 1 sources
Simple accounting and real‑dollar charts show that rising data‑center and tech investment has coincided with continued (if slower) growth in other investment; the standard loanable‑funds model implies private borrowing crowds out less than one‑for‑one and can reallocate funds towards higher‑value uses. Tabarrok also points out that much of the rise in real interest rates predates the AI/datatacenter boom, weakening the causal story that datacenter borrowing pushed up rates and choked off other projects. — This reframes a popular policy narrative — that AI/data‑center buildouts are starving other investment — with empirical checks that affect subsidy debates, permitting fights, and macro policy responses.

Sources

No, DataCenters are Not Crowding-Out Other Investments
Alex Tabarrok 2026.10.19 100% relevant
Alex Tabarrok regraphs Krugman/Rattner data, contrasts $51b annual datacenter construction vs ~$539b 'tech' investment, notes real tech investment rose ~46% from 2023Q2–2026Q2 while other real investment rose ~3%, and cites 10‑year TIPS moves showing much of rate increases occurred before the tech boom.
← Back to all ideas