Not all government‑debt metrics are interchangeable: debt‑to‑GDP, interest‑to‑GDP, and debt‑to‑equity each capture distinct fiscal pressures and can move in opposite directions. Relying on a single ratio (debt/GDP) can produce premature or misleading claims about sustainability.
— Adopting multiple, theoretically grounded debt indicators would change policy debates over austerity, taxation, and spending by focusing discussion on which fiscal stress — servicing costs, leverage against national wealth, or headline debt — actually matters.
msmash
2026.01.09
100% relevant
The article summarizes an NBER paper that constructs an international panel of three indebtedness measures and finds that debt/GDP rises while interest/GDP and debt/equity do not, calling into question single‑metric narratives.
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