Debt‑to‑Wealth Lens

Updated: 2025.12.03 3D ago 1 sources
Treat sovereign indebtedness not only as a debt‑to‑GDP flow problem but as a stock problem relative to national wealth and asset liquidity. Assessing fiscal risk should incorporate debt’s hedge properties (covariance with growth), wealth composition, and the timing asymmetry that makes public debt a poor cushion in downturns. — Shifting debate from debt/GDP to debt/wealth and asset covariances changes what counts as sustainable borrowing and how markets should price sovereign risk.

Sources

The MR Podcast: Debt!
Alex Tabarrok 2025.12.03 100% relevant
Tyler Cowen and Alex Tabarrok cite Hanno Lustig’s 'US Public Debt Valuation Puzzle' and discuss the idea that debt pays off in good times and expands in bad times, and that comparing debt to national wealth (not just GDP) yields a different risk picture.
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