Remittances to several Central American countries reportedly jumped 20% as migrants rush to wire money home before possible deportations. This is classic intertemporal substitution: people accelerate transfers now to hedge policy risk. In nations like Honduras and Nicaragua, where remittances approach a quarter of GDP, such spikes can distort exchange rates and household incomes.
— It shows U.S. enforcement signaling can rapidly re-time billions in cross‑border cash flows, reshaping economies reliant on remittances and complicating policy evaluation.
Tyler Cowen
2025.09.14
100% relevant
NYT reporting (via James Wagner) cited in the post: 20% remittance jump tied to deportation fears; remittances up to 25% of GDP in Honduras and Nicaragua.
← Back to All Ideas