Deportation Fears Front‑Load Remittances

Updated: 2025.09.14 1M ago 1 sources
Remittances to several Central American countries reportedly jumped 20% as migrants rush to wire money home before possible deportations. This is classic intertemporal substitution: people accelerate transfers now to hedge policy risk. In nations like Honduras and Nicaragua, where remittances approach a quarter of GDP, such spikes can distort exchange rates and household incomes. — It shows U.S. enforcement signaling can rapidly re-time billions in cross‑border cash flows, reshaping economies reliant on remittances and complicating policy evaluation.

Sources

Intertemporal substitution
Tyler Cowen 2025.09.14 100% relevant
NYT reporting (via James Wagner) cited in the post: 20% remittance jump tied to deportation fears; remittances up to 25% of GDP in Honduras and Nicaragua.
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