Deterrence Depends On China’s Readiness

Updated: 2025.09.23 29D ago 2 sources
Zhong argues U.S. intervention hinges less on Washington’s will than on Beijing’s preparedness; shifting the cross‑Strait balance further toward China reduces the odds of U.S. entry. This reframes credibility debates around relative capability growth. — It redirects strategy from U.S. signaling to China’s military and logistics buildup as the decisive deterrent variable.

Sources

China Launches Stealth Jet From Electromagnetic Catapult Aircraft Carrier
BeauHD 2025.09.23 72% relevant
The PLAN’s EMALS launches of J‑35 stealth fighters and KJ‑600 AEW from CNS Fujian directly increase China’s readiness and capacity to operate across the first island chain, reinforcing the thesis that the odds of U.S. intervention hinge on China’s growing capabilities.
Turning Crisis into Opportunity: Zhong Houtao on China’s New Taiwan Strategy (Part 2)
Thomas des Garets Geddes 2025.07.19 100% relevant
Key point: 'whether Washington intervenes... hinges on Beijing’s level of preparedness.'
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