If a claim appears only as a single published study, treat it as provisional until independent, well‑powered replications accumulate; Jussim argues that replication failures, citation practices, selective reporting, and occasional fabrication can make a large fraction of published psychological claims false. He provides a simple decomposition and an empirical anchor (≈50% unreplicable) to justify a headline estimate (~75% false claims) for the field.
— Adopting a public norm of provisional assent for single studies would reshape how media, policymakers, courts, and educators cite and act on psychological research.
2026.03.05
100% relevant
Lee Jussim’s essay (Nov 2024) presents an equation decomposing sources of falsehood and cites a ~50% unreplicable‑finding rate as the empirical foundation for his ~75% overall estimate.
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