Dollar Slide Cancels Stock Rally

Updated: 2026.01.12 17D ago 3 sources
The article notes the U.S. dollar is about 10% weaker this year, offsetting much of the S&P 500’s gains for foreign investors. With profits flat and investment down, it argues widespread market rallies reflect liquidity and dollar hedging rather than AI-driven productivity. This reframes the risk as future costs from U.S. deficit-fueled spending and currency weakness. — It challenges a dominant narrative about AI-led prosperity by emphasizing currency-adjusted returns and fiscal-driven liquidity as the true drivers of asset prices.

Sources

The price of gold went vertical
Tyler Cowen 2026.01.12 78% relevant
Sharp gold rallies are often the flip side of dollar weakness and rising macro/market stress; a vertical gold move plausibly reflects real‑time hedging against a weaker dollar or elevated tail risk, directly connecting to the existing claim that currency moves can cancel apparent equity gains. The article’s title signals exactly that kind of market re‑pricing which underlies the 'Dollar Slide' idea.
Africa possibility of the day
Tyler Cowen 2026.01.05 57% relevant
Cowen emphasizes macro drivers (a weak dollar easing debt service) as a meaningful contributor to stronger African growth this year, echoing the earlier idea that currency moves and macro liquidity can materially reshape where growth and corporate fortunes appear. The article complements the 'dollar effects on macro returns' claim by showing how exchange‑rate and commodity dynamics differentially affect regions.
America will pay for its spending binge
John Rapley 2025.10.01 100% relevant
Claim that investors are hedging dollar exposure and that the dollar’s ~10% YTD decline ‘cancels out’ much of U.S. equity gains while global and commodity rallies soar.
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