Dysgenics Halves Innovation by 2100

Updated: 2025.09.09 1M ago 2 sources
Using observed links between fertility, national IQ, and innovation output, the article projects a 73% global decline in people with IQ ≥131 by 2100 and a fall in the +2SD cutoff from 128 to 116. It estimates this will reduce global innovation capacity by about 50%, effectively erasing roughly 18 years of scientific progress this century. — If accurate, these projections force policymakers to confront how demographic-genetic trends could throttle growth and scientific leadership absent countervailing policies or transformative AI.

Sources

Tweet by @degenrolf
@degenrolf 2025.09.09 55% relevant
The tweet’s claim—psychopathy/Dark Tetrad traits correlate with greater reproductive success (more children, earlier first birth)—aligns with concerns that current selection may favor traits counterproductive to prosocial/innovative outcomes, reinforcing the broader selection‑pressure thesis in that piece.
Smart Extinction? Projecting the Future of Global Intelligence and Innovation
Uncorrelated 2025.03.26 100% relevant
Claims: global IQ falling ~1.1 points/decade (35.5% from dysgenics); IQ ≥131 down 73.4% by 2100; ~40% of working-age population <70 IQ; innovation capacity halved.
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