Event-proof approval ratings

Updated: 2025.08.14 6M ago 3 sources
Major domestic or foreign policy shocks produce minimal movement in presidential approval due to hardened partisan identities. — Shapes incentives for governance, crisis response, and accountability when public opinion is structurally inert, affecting media coverage and policymaking strategies.

Sources

How popular is Donald Trump?
Nate Silver 2025.08.14 100% relevant
Despite federalizing D.C. police and an impending Putin summit on Ukraine, Trump’s net approval stays tightly range-bound around -9.
Donald Trump approval, Ghislaine Maxwell, gerrymandering, inflation, and unemployment: August 9 - 11, 2025 Economist/YouGov Poll
2025.08.12 75% relevant
Trump’s net approval remains modestly negative with high intra-party support despite salience of Epstein/Maxwell controversies, illustrating hardened partisan identities that mute approval swings.
Is Epstein the new Russiagate?
Nate Silver 2025.07.29 80% relevant
Silver argues that despite intensive media coverage of Epstein and claims of political fallout, public engagement appears limited (e.g., Google search trends) and Trump’s support base is likely resilient—an instance of major controversies producing little opinion movement consistent with hardened partisan identities.
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