A visible 'desertion' from the very pessimistic AI camp—flagged in the roundup—indicates that elite consensus about existential AI risk is plastic: when prominent figures publicly moderate their claims, policy urgency and coalition composition can shift quickly. Tracking such elite defections provides an early signal for changing regulatory and funding priorities.
— If leading voices abandon apocalyptic framings, the policy window for aggressive emergency‑style controls narrows and governance debates pivot toward pragmatic safety and industrial strategy.
Tyler Cowen
2026.01.15
100% relevant
Cowen’s link noting 'Another desertion from the very pessimistic camp on AI' (item in the roundup) is the concrete trigger for this idea.
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