Extend‑and‑Pretend Mortgage Cycles

Updated: 2025.11.29 7D ago 1 sources
A recurring policy pattern in U.S. mortgage history is 'extend‑and‑pretend': regulators and institutions repeatedly use accounting forbearance, broadened charter powers, or market engineering to postpone recognition of mortgage losses, which amplifies moral hazard and seeds a later, larger correction. The S&L crisis of the 1980s—Regulation Q, assumable low‑rate loans, securitization, and eventual asset‑quality concealment—is a canonical case that repeats in different forms across decades. — Recognizing 'extend‑and‑pretend' as a systemic public‑policy failure reframes housing debates toward durable institutional constraints (limits on asset scope, stricter provisioning, transparent resolution regimes) rather than episodic bailouts.

Sources

Land, Debt, and Crises
Arnold Kling 2025.11.29 100% relevant
Arnold Kling documents the shift from balloon mortgages to 30‑year amortizing loans, the role of FHA/FNMA and S&Ls, Regulation Q, and how accounting/charter changes in the 1980s enabled insolvent institutions to run on for years—an extend‑and‑pretend sequence.
← Back to All Ideas