Fare‑Free Transit Fails At Megacity Scale

Updated: 2025.12.03 3D ago 1 sources
Small, university or resort towns can raise ridership with zero fares, but dozens of comparative studies and randomized trials show large systems rarely convert drivers to transit, instead attracting walkers and off‑peak leisure trips while producing severe revenue shortfalls. In big systems fare revenue underwrites bonds and operations, so elimination without replacement funding jeopardizes speed, reliability, and safety valued by city riders. — Makes clear that city leaders must treat transit policy as a systems question—funding, service quality, infrastructure allocation—not a simple price lever, with major implications for emissions, equity, and municipal finance.

Sources

Why Free Buses Won’t Work for New York
Shawn Regan, Matthew E. Kahn 2025.12.03 100% relevant
Article cites Mayor‑elect Zohran Mamdani’s promise, contrasts Iowa City (1.6M rides; $1M/year cost) with NYC (400M rides; fares fund 20% of bus ops and back $17B in bonds) and aggregates TCRP reviews, Santiago RCT, Luxembourg, Tallinn, and Colorado experiments.
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