Analyzing 18 years of North Sea data, researchers argue rogue waves arise when several large waves line up (constructive interference) and then nonlinear effects stretch the crest by another 15–20%. They say this two‑step process leaves a recognizable signature that can be used to forecast singular, extreme waves during storms. If validated, it reframes rogues from 'random monsters' to forecastable hazards.
— Turning an unpredictable maritime killer into a forecastable event affects shipping rules, offshore platform design, insurance pricing, and emergency planning as seas get stormier.
Kristen French
2025.09.10
100% relevant
Francesco Fedele’s team’s analysis of the Draupner context and 18 years of North Sea wave records, with the reported 15–20% nonlinear amplification and claim that each rogue has a usable signature.
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