Epoch’s data show that open‑weight models on a single gaming GPU now match the benchmark performance of last year’s frontier systems—compressing the lag to about nine months. Capability diffusion windows are shrinking to consumer hardware timelines, not enterprise cycles.
— Rapid diffusion undermines slow‑roll governance assumptions, forcing export controls, safety standards, and enterprise risk models to anticipate near‑term public access to advanced capabilities.
BeauHD
2025.10.02
72% relevant
The article describes Tinker automating distributed training and giving users 'full control over the training loop,' which further reduces practical barriers to frontier‑adjacent customization, echoing the theme that advanced capabilities are diffusing rapidly to non‑elite users and shrinking governance windows.
Alexander Kruel
2025.08.20
100% relevant
Epoch.ai note: 'Frontier AI performance typically reaches consumer hardware in just 9 months... open‑weight models matching the absolute frontier from less than a year ago.'
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