Futures Markets for Cultural Adaptation

Create tradable markets that estimate long‑run adaptive outcomes for social groups and sacred projects, and use price movements as accountability signals — rewarding leaders when estimated future adaptiveness rises and penalizing them when it falls. The markets would measure cultural and genetic adaptiveness (as feasible) and feed governance rules or incentives (a kind of futarchy applied to civilization‑level traits). — If implemented, such markets would reframe political accountability around measurable long‑term cultural survival and could reshape incentives for everything from immigration and family policy to institutional mission.