Clemens asserts that increases in H‑1B workers from 1990–2010 explain 30–50% of U.S. productivity growth. Natural‑experiment shocks from cap changes let economists isolate causal effects on patenting, startup formation, firm output, and native wages.
— If accurate, this reframes skilled immigration as a primary engine of U.S. prosperity, challenging restrictionist policies and guiding talent and innovation strategy.
Tyler Cowen
2025.09.24
100% relevant
The article’s lead claim: 'From 1990 to 2010, rising numbers of H‑1B holders caused 30–50 percent of all productivity growth in the US economy,' citing cap‑change shocks and city‑level comparisons.
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