Hour‑by‑hour model election guides

Election forecasters increasingly publish operational, hour‑by‑hour guides that map model probabilities onto expected reporting cadence (which polls close when, which races will show early returns, and which contests are tipping‑point candidates). Those guides don't just report probabilities — they actively shape election‑night narratives by telling media and the public which early results to treat as signal versus noise. — If forecasters publish these timelines routinely, they can centralize narrative control on election night, amplifying model priors and altering how newsrooms, campaigns, and the public interpret incremental returns.