Household‑Centered Vaccine Value

Updated: 2026.01.03 26D ago 1 sources
Vaccination not only protects the vaccinated (an estimated ~80% case reduction in this study) but confers large indirect protection to household contacts — roughly three‑quarters of the direct effect — while showing negligible spillovers to schoolmates. Policies that evaluate vaccine benefit should therefore account for high‑value household externalities (and their spatial limits) when deciding prioritization, mandates, and subsidy designs. — Incorporating household‑level indirect effects changes cost‑effectiveness and equity calculations for vaccine programs and mandates, and clarifies why targeting certain age groups or household compositions can magnify public‑health returns.

Sources

Direct and Indirect Effects of Vaccines: Evidence from COVID-19
Tyler Cowen 2026.01.03 100% relevant
AEJ: Applied Economics paper by Freedman, Sacks, Simon, and Wing using near‑universal state microdata and a six‑month age‑eligibility delay to estimate direct (≈80%) and household indirect (~75% of direct) vaccine effects, with no measurable schoolmate spillover.
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