Human capital explains most income gaps

Updated: 2026.09.29 3H ago 1 sources
New development‑accounting work (Lagakos & Schoellman, NBER) argues that improved measurement of inputs — especially human capital and management — raises the share of cross‑country GDP‑per‑worker differences explained from ~30% (classic specs) to roughly 55–70%. That implies much less of the gap is unexplained 'TFP' and more is attributable to measurable inputs and institutions. — If inputs (education, skills, management) account for most income differences, policy focus should shift from vague productivity appeals to concrete investments in human capital, measurement, and organizational improvement.

Sources

Accounting for Cross-Country Income Differences Revisited
Tyler Cowen 2026.09.29 100% relevant
NBER working paper by David Lagakos & Todd Schoellman summarized in the article; specific numeric estimate that inputs explain 55–70% of GDP per worker differences and mention of measuring management quality and moving beyond Cobb‑Douglas.
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