A new academic study plus current polls suggest the classic class‑based left–right cleavage in Britain is being eclipsed by an immigration‑centered divide: older, less‑educated, culturally conservative voters align with anti‑immigration blocs while younger, educated, liberal voters align elsewhere, producing fragmentation and insurgent parties.
— If immigration has become the principal structuring cleavage, campaign strategy, legislative coalitions, and policy tradeoffs (welfare, border enforcement, integration) will be reorganized across the UK and provide a model for other Western democracies.
Matt Goodwin
2026.01.07
100% relevant
Griffiths et al. 2026 study cited by Matt Goodwin and new YouGov polling showing Reform/insurgent strength and collapse of Labour/Tory combined support.
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