A model of $20,000 per standard deviation in parental IQ (above the mean) per year per child yields 2–18 IQ‑point national gains over 100 years and 22% to 6.5× higher GDP per capita. However, base fertility collapses to 0.66–1.14 without the policy, making births reliant on a perpetual subsidy costing ~3.2% of GDP.
— It reframes pronatal policy by showing selection gains require a permanent fiscal commitment and do not fix demographic shrinkage.
Uncorrelated
2025.07.17
100% relevant
The paper’s simulated policy and outcomes: $20,000/SD benefit, 2–18 IQ‑point gains, ~3.2% GDP annual cost, and base fertility collapse.
← Back to All Ideas