Khamenei Succession Regime Window

The sudden elevation of Mojtaba Khamenei after Ali Khamenei's death creates a temporary legitimacy gap in Iran where rival power centers, security organs, and elite loyalties could fragment. That window presents both an opportunity for internal change and a risk of intensified repression or regional escalation depending on foreign and domestic responses. — It forces a concrete foreign‑policy choice: attempt to exploit a fragile moment for democratic change, or prioritize stability to avoid wider conflict and civilian harm.