Lebanon State Push Could Break Hezbollah

A narrow political window — when a weakened external patron (Iran) and domestic outrage align — can enable a state to disarm and politically marginalize a long‑entrenched militia. If a Lebanese government (Prime Minister Nawaf Salam) and the Lebanese Armed Forces act decisively now, they could collapse Hezbollah’s armed autonomy rather than merely contain it. — If true, this would reshape security calculations across the Levant, affect Israeli strategy, Iranian influence, refugee and humanitarian flows, and the future of militia‑state relations worldwide.