Low‑turnout primaries empower ideologues

Updated: 2025.12.02 3D ago 5 sources
In New York City, Democratic Socialists have learned to dominate low‑turnout primaries, effectively deciding the mayoral outcome before the broader electorate weighs in. With the centrist camp fragmented and demographically shrinking, a primary win plus a split general electorate can deliver citywide control. — It spotlights how primary participation and party‑internal rules, not just general elections, can determine who governs big cities and thus where reform energy should focus.

Sources

Tuesday discussion post
Halina Bennet 2025.12.02 50% relevant
The Slow Boring post treats a low‑attention single‑district special election as a bellwether; that dynamic connects to the existing point that off‑cycle contests (primaries/specials) can produce outsized, nonrepresentative outcomes and thus alter party strategy and elites’ calculus—here evidenced by heavy outside spending (MAGA Inc.'s ~$1.7M) and intense national attention.
The New Electorate
2025.12.02 65% relevant
The Portland item argues the far Left is the local establishment because it controls votes, money, and bureaucracy — this is a concrete municipal example of how low‑turnout, organized blocs can capture institutions and shape policy, which the existing idea highlights nationally.
Is Your Party already over?
Jonny Ball 2025.12.01 52% relevant
Although this article concerns a breakaway rather than a primary, it illustrates the same dynamic: intra‑party proceduralism, sectarian ritual, and activist networks (SPEW, SWP, etc.) can concentrate influence among small, highly motivated groups — a mechanism that explains how ideologues capture party organs or create splinter ballots that reshape competition.
Zarah Sultana’s Poundshop revolution
Tanya Gold 2025.11.29 75% relevant
The article describes a small, intense activist layer (expulsions, security, holiday‑inn rallies) driving Your Party’s internal contest and a fall in public interest (18%→12%), illustrating how low‑participation, organized minorities can determine leadership and direction — the mechanism identified in the existing idea.
New York Braces for a Mayor Mamdani
Nicole Gelinas 2025.10.05 100% relevant
The article notes DSA 'now dominate low‑turnout primaries' and that June’s primary was the turning point for Mamdani’s rise as the center eroded and opponents failed to coordinate.
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