When a leader governs through unpredictable, high‑risk personal gambits — e.g., proposing a commercial 'joint venture' with an adversary over a strategic choke point — the chaos and lousy outcomes can create a counterintuitive political effect: nostalgia for dull, expert‑driven technocracy. That shift changes what voters demand from institutions and can reshape contestation over tradeoffs between democratic accountability and administrative competence.
— If populist personalization of power reliably makes technocratic governance look preferable, debates about institutional reform, oversight, and who gets to decide foreign‑policy tradeoffs will realign.
Sohrab Ahmari
2026.04.08
100% relevant
President Trump’s remark about doing a 'joint venture' with Iran to secure the Strait of Hormuz tolls and his acceptance of Tehran’s 10‑point plan (with JPMorgan estimates of $70–90bn annual fees) exemplify the risky, transactional acts that drive the effect.
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