Countries' long‑run strategic strength depends less on headline GDP growth and more on governance, productive capital accumulation, and incentives that sustain industrial mobilization. Misreading opponents by trusting raw output figures (or letting political churn hollow the policy process) risks strategic surprise and poor force posture.
— If policymakers and analysts adopt resilience‑based metrics, U.S. strategy, trade policy, and defense planning would shift toward building durable productive capacity and protecting the policy process, changing investment and alliance choices.
Dalibor Rohac
2026.09.04
100% relevant
The article cites Samuelson’s misleading Soviet‑output chart, satellite‑light studies on Chinese growth, Stefan Possony’s argument about capital and war, and Donald Trump’s disruption of the normal policy process over Iran as concrete examples.
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