A Journal of Law and Economics paper finds that after state minimum‑wage increases, firms reduce their investment rate by about 3.08 percentage points. The effect is strongest at firms with many minimum‑wage workers, stronger employment protections, or high labor intensity, and appears to operate through aggravated debt overhang and higher operating leverage crowding out debt financing.
— This reframes the minimum‑wage debate by adding a capital‑formation tradeoff, implying possible impacts on productivity and long‑run growth beyond near‑term employment effects.
Tyler Cowen
2025.09.17
100% relevant
DuckKi Cho’s study exploiting staggered state minimum‑wage changes to identify a 3.08‑point drop in firms’ investment rates.
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