Near‑miss complacency normalizes political violence

When high‑profile assassination attempts or plots narrowly fail, public and media reactions can shift from alarm to casual acceptance; repeated near‑misses create a behavioral and narrative equilibrium where extreme political violence becomes one more background risk rather than a crisis requiring systemic response. That complacency reshapes incentives for attackers, security agencies, media framing, and political rhetoric. — If near‑miss complacency becomes common, it lowers political costs for violence, undermines deterrence and public trust in institutions, and changes how newsrooms and platforms cover and signal political risk.