A 2005 behavioral‑economics paper (Thaler and Cade Massey’s 'The Loser’s Curse') identified systematic mispricing in the NFL draft pick 'price chart' and predicted teams were overpaying for top picks; subsequent collective‑bargaining and team responses within a decade vindicated the paper’s practical prediction. This is a clear, public‑facing example where economic models made a falsifiable prediction about real institutional behavior and influenced institutional outcomes.
— Shows how concrete, testable successes can be used to rebuild public trust in economics and to rebut the claim that economics is merely ideological.
Alan Cole
2026.04.27
100% relevant
The Thaler–Massey paper 'The Loser’s Curse' (academic paper), NFL draft pick chart (institutional practice), and later changes reflected in the league’s collective bargaining agreement are the concrete elements tying theory to outcome.
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