Nonvoters Lean Left, Still Sit Out

Updated: 2025.08.28 1M ago 2 sources
Among the 26% of adults who aren’t registered, Democrats lead Republicans by 12 points, but most in this group say they won’t vote or are unsure. The Democratic edge among nonregistrants has grown in recent weeks. This highlights a persistent 'missing voters' pool that favors the left but rarely materializes. — It reframes 2026 strategy toward registration and mobilization mechanics rather than persuasion alone.

Sources

When people don’t vote, Democrats win
Matthew Yglesias 2025.08.28 70% relevant
Yglesias claims new evidence shows 2024 nonvoters are more Trump‑friendly than voters and that untargeted registration/mobilization helps Republicans, directly challenging prior analyses that unregistered/nonvoting pools lean Democratic and simply need mobilization.
A new high for Trump disapproval, Democrats' House vote lead, wars in Ukraine and Gaza, and universities: August 15 - 18, 2025 Economist/YouGov Poll
2025.08.19 100% relevant
Economist/YouGov poll: unregistered adults’ 12‑point Democratic advantage and majority non‑participation.
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