Nuclear Analogy as AI Policy Heuristic

Treat early nuclear‑era thinking (and works like Heinlein’s “Solution Unsatisfactory”) as a practical heuristic for AI policy: focus on institutional custodianship, deployment controls, and deterrence‑style stability rather than only on predictions about when systems reach general intelligence. The heuristic helps translate historical institutional responses to a novel strategic technology into concrete governance questions for states, firms, and international bodies. — Using the nuclear precedent reframes AI debates toward who holds operational control and what institutional checks are needed, shaping realistic policy options.