The pandemic increased psychological 'automaticity' (fast, low‑bandwidth decision making) by raising distress and cognitive load, which raised the frequency of interpersonal arguments that escalated to shootings. Those shifts, together with rapid changes in handgun purchasing and street‑level policing, drove the unusual homicide volatility since 2019.
— If true, policies aimed at reducing acute distress (mental‑health supports, reducing economic strain) and limiting on‑the‑margin gun availability could cut homicide more effectively than models that treat all crime as a calculated cost–benefit choice.
Tyler Cowen
2026.10.05
100% relevant
Tyler Cowen summarizing Jens Ludwig: links pandemic 'bandwidth tax', mirrored rises in overdoses/car crashes/suicide, and large swings in handgun sales and police stops (post‑George Floyd) to expressive shootings.
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