U.S. undergraduate enrollment has fallen 12% since 2010, with two‑year colleges down 39%, and the shrinking pipeline of young people means fewer students even if college costs improve. The author argues this will hollow out college‑dependent towns, creating a 'Second Rust Belt' as 'education mills' contract. Managing the fallout will require proactive regional transition plans, not just campus fixes.
— It reframes higher‑education debates as a demographic and regional‑economy challenge, warning policymakers to plan for post‑college‑town futures.
EditorDavid
2025.11.29
80% relevant
The NBC poll documents declining faith that four‑year degrees pay off and increased interest in two‑year/technical routes; that demand shift directly amplifies the demographic and enrollment pressures described in 'Peak 18‑Year‑Old Hits College Towns' and helps explain why college towns and campus budgets face long‑term contraction risks.
kyla scanlon
2025.10.10
100% relevant
Western Kentucky University as a case study; NCES figures on enrollment decline (12% overall, two‑year colleges from 7.7m to 4.7m).
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